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This vignette demonstrates an example of how to use the
logitr()
function with the weights
argument to
estimate weighted logit models.
This example uses the cars_us data set from Helveston et al. (2015) containing 384 stated choice observations from US car buyers. Conjoint surveys were fielded in 2012 online in the US on Amazon Mechanical Turk and in person at the 2013 Pittsburgh Auto show. Participants were asked to select a vehicle from a set of three alternatives. Each participant answered 15 choice questions.
In the utility models described below, the data variables are represented as follows:
Symbol | Variable |
---|---|
\(p\) | The price in US dollars. |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{hev}}\) | Dummy variable for HEV vehicle type |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{phev10}}\) | Dummy variable for PHEV10 vehicle type |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{phev20}}\) | Dummy variable for PHEV20 vehicle type |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{phev40}}\) | Dummy variable for PHEV40 vehicle type |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{bev75}}\) | Dummy variable for BEV75 vehicle type |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{bev100}}\) | Dummy variable for BEV100 vehicle type |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{bev150}}\) | Dummy variable for BEV150 vehicle type |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{phevFastcharge}}\) | Dummy variable for if the PHEV has a fast charging capability |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{bevFastcharge}}\) | Dummy variable for if the BEV has a fast charging capability |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{opCost}}\) | The vehicle operating costs (cents / mile) |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{accelTime}}\) | The vehicle 0-60mph acceleration time |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{american}}\) | Dummy variable for an American brand |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{japanese}}\) | Dummy variable for a Japanese brand |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{chinese}}\) | Dummy variable for a Chinese brand |
\(x_{j}^{\mathrm{skorean}}\) | Dummy variable for a S. Korean brand |
In this example, we’ll estimate two versions of the following utility model in the WTP space: one without weights and one with weights. Notation is taken from Helveston et al. (2015):
\[\begin{equation} \begin{split} &u_{j} = \lambda (\\ &\omega_1 x_{j}^{\mathrm{hev}} + \omega_2 x_{j}^{\mathrm{phev10}} + \omega_3 x_{j}^{\mathrm{phev20}} + \omega_4 x_{j}^{\mathrm{phev40}} +\\ &\omega_5 x_{j}^{\mathrm{bev75}} + \omega_6 x_{j}^{\mathrm{bev100}} + \omega_7 x_{j}^{\mathrm{bev150}} +\\ &\omega_8 x_{j}^{\mathrm{phevFastcharge}} + \omega_9 x_{j}^{\mathrm{bevFastcharge}} + \omega_{10} x_{j}^{\mathrm{opCost}} + \omega_{11} x_{j}^{\mathrm{accelTime}} +\\ &\omega_{12} x_{j}^{\mathrm{american}} + \omega_{13} x_{j}^{\mathrm{japanese}} + \omega_{14} x_{j}^{\mathrm{chinese}} + \omega_{15} x_{j}^{\mathrm{skorean}} - p_{j}\\ &) +\varepsilon_{j} \end{split} \label{eq:mnlWtpCarsExample} \end{equation}\]
where all the \(\omega\) parameters have units of dollars and \(\lambda\) is the scale parameter.
Estimate the unweighted model using the logitr()
function. In this example, I have set robust = TRUE
since
it will also be TRUE
in the weighted model:
library("logitr")
mnl_wtp_unweighted <- logitr(
data = cars_us,
outcome = 'choice',
obsID = 'obsnum',
pars = c(
'hev', 'phev10', 'phev20', 'phev40', 'bev75', 'bev100', 'bev150',
'american', 'japanese', 'chinese', 'skorean', 'phevFastcharge',
'bevFastcharge','opCost', 'accelTime'),
scalePar = 'price',
robust = TRUE,
# Since WTP space models are non-convex, run a multistart
numMultiStarts = 10
)
Print a summary of the results:
summary(mnl_wtp_unweighted)
#> =================================================
#>
#> Model estimated on: Wed Jul 24 05:46:57 2024
#>
#> Using logitr version: 1.1.2
#>
#> Call:
#> logitr(data = cars_us, outcome = "choice", obsID = "obsnum",
#> pars = c("hev", "phev10", "phev20", "phev40", "bev75", "bev100",
#> "bev150", "american", "japanese", "chinese", "skorean",
#> "phevFastcharge", "bevFastcharge", "opCost", "accelTime"),
#> scalePar = "price", robust = TRUE, numMultiStarts = 10)
#>
#> Frequencies of alternatives:
#> 1 2 3
#> 0.34323 0.33507 0.32170
#>
#> Summary Of Multistart Runs:
#> Log Likelihood Iterations Exit Status
#> 1 -4616.952 26 3
#> 2 -4616.952 39 3
#> 3 -4616.952 34 3
#> 4 -4616.952 36 3
#> 5 -4616.952 36 3
#> 6 -4616.952 31 3
#> 7 -4616.952 32 3
#> 8 -4616.952 29 3
#> 9 -4616.952 31 3
#> 10 -4616.952 36 3
#>
#> Use statusCodes() to view the meaning of each status code
#>
#> Exit Status: 3, Optimization stopped because ftol_rel or ftol_abs was reached.
#>
#> Model Type: Multinomial Logit
#> Model Space: Willingness-to-Pay
#> Model Run: 1 of 10
#> Iterations: 26
#> Elapsed Time: 0h:0m:0.12s
#> Algorithm: NLOPT_LD_LBFGS
#> Weights Used?: FALSE
#> Cluster ID: obsnum
#> Robust? TRUE
#>
#> Model Coefficients:
#> Estimate Std. Error z-value Pr(>|z|)
#> scalePar 0.0738778 0.0021929 33.6898 < 2.2e-16 ***
#> hev 0.8068260 0.9990687 0.8076 0.4193335
#> phev10 1.1649982 1.0615103 1.0975 0.2724267
#> phev20 1.6473977 1.0617543 1.5516 0.1207625
#> phev40 2.5795310 1.0499377 2.4568 0.0140164 *
#> bev75 -16.0458997 1.2541305 -12.7944 < 2.2e-16 ***
#> bev100 -13.0033090 1.2388653 -10.4961 < 2.2e-16 ***
#> bev150 -9.5736990 1.1641920 -8.2235 2.220e-16 ***
#> american 2.3429451 0.7979690 2.9361 0.0033233 **
#> japanese -0.3756939 0.7998368 -0.4697 0.6385600
#> chinese -10.2706045 0.8859927 -11.5922 < 2.2e-16 ***
#> skorean -6.0320195 0.8514460 -7.0844 1.396e-12 ***
#> phevFastcharge 2.8797097 0.8028928 3.5867 0.0003349 ***
#> bevFastcharge 2.9187141 0.9181393 3.1789 0.0014781 **
#> opCost -1.6360512 0.0686316 -23.8382 < 2.2e-16 ***
#> accelTime -1.6970892 0.1638118 -10.3600 < 2.2e-16 ***
#> ---
#> Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
#>
#> Log-Likelihood: -4616.9517826
#> Null Log-Likelihood: -6328.0067827
#> AIC: 9265.9035652
#> BIC: 9372.4426000
#> McFadden R2: 0.2703940
#> Adj McFadden R2: 0.2678655
#> Number of Observations: 5760.0000000
#> Number of Clusters 5760.0000000
To estimate the weighted model, simply add the weights
argument to the call to logitr()
, referring to the column
of weights that will be used to weight each choice observation. In this
example, the weights used in the weights
column range from
0.2 to 5:
summary(cars_us$weights)
#> Min. 1st Qu. Median Mean 3rd Qu. Max.
#> 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.6891 0.2000 5.0000
mnl_wtp_weighted <- logitr(
data = cars_us,
outcome = 'choice',
obsID = 'obsnum',
pars = c(
'hev', 'phev10', 'phev20', 'phev40', 'bev75', 'bev100', 'bev150',
'american', 'japanese', 'chinese', 'skorean', 'phevFastcharge',
'bevFastcharge','opCost', 'accelTime'),
scalePar = 'price',
weights = 'weights', # This enables the weights
robust = TRUE,
numMultiStarts = 10
)
Print a summary of the results:
summary(mnl_wtp_weighted)
#> =================================================
#>
#> Model estimated on: Wed Jul 24 05:46:58 2024
#>
#> Using logitr version: 1.1.2
#>
#> Call:
#> logitr(data = cars_us, outcome = "choice", obsID = "obsnum",
#> pars = c("hev", "phev10", "phev20", "phev40", "bev75", "bev100",
#> "bev150", "american", "japanese", "chinese", "skorean",
#> "phevFastcharge", "bevFastcharge", "opCost", "accelTime"),
#> scalePar = "price", weights = "weights", robust = TRUE, numMultiStarts = 10)
#>
#> Frequencies of alternatives:
#> 1 2 3
#> 0.34323 0.33507 0.32170
#>
#> Summary Of Multistart Runs:
#> Log Likelihood Iterations Exit Status
#> 1 -3425.633 19 3
#> 2 -3425.630 31 3
#> 3 -3425.630 31 3
#> 4 -3425.630 32 3
#> 5 -3425.630 34 3
#> 6 -3425.630 28 3
#> 7 -3425.630 32 3
#> 8 -3425.630 30 3
#> 9 -3875.776 57 4
#> 10 -3425.630 30 3
#>
#> Use statusCodes() to view the meaning of each status code
#>
#> Exit Status: 3, Optimization stopped because ftol_rel or ftol_abs was reached.
#>
#> Model Type: Multinomial Logit
#> Model Space: Willingness-to-Pay
#> Model Run: 2 of 10
#> Iterations: 31
#> Elapsed Time: 0h:0m:0.09s
#> Algorithm: NLOPT_LD_LBFGS
#> Weights Used?: TRUE
#> Cluster ID: obsnum
#> Robust? TRUE
#>
#> Model Coefficients:
#> Estimate Std. Error z-value Pr(>|z|)
#> scalePar 0.052281 0.004069 12.8485 < 2.2e-16 ***
#> hev -1.176222 2.913306 -0.4037 0.6864028
#> phev10 0.027212 3.127999 0.0087 0.9930589
#> phev20 1.694572 3.099695 0.5467 0.5845918
#> phev40 2.649702 2.985162 0.8876 0.3747430
#> bev75 -20.137565 3.667262 -5.4912 3.993e-08 ***
#> bev100 -19.497657 3.625683 -5.3777 7.546e-08 ***
#> bev150 -13.692098 3.492761 -3.9201 8.850e-05 ***
#> american 8.187596 2.405297 3.4040 0.0006641 ***
#> japanese 0.934197 2.360359 0.3958 0.6922628
#> chinese -19.007207 2.854040 -6.6598 2.743e-11 ***
#> skorean -9.509847 2.523407 -3.7687 0.0001641 ***
#> phevFastcharge 3.944170 2.362421 1.6695 0.0950092 .
#> bevFastcharge 3.343706 2.808717 1.1905 0.2338598
#> opCost -1.597517 0.194846 -8.1989 2.220e-16 ***
#> accelTime -1.171807 0.483469 -2.4237 0.0153614 *
#> ---
#> Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
#>
#> Log-Likelihood: -3425.6302852
#> Null Log-Likelihood: -4360.5909275
#> AIC: 6883.2605704
#> BIC: 6989.7997000
#> McFadden R2: 0.2144115
#> Adj McFadden R2: 0.2107422
#> Number of Observations: 5760.0000000
#> Number of Clusters 5760.0000000
Here is a comparison of the coefficients between the weighted and unweighted models. All of the significant coefficients have the same sign, but the magnitudes shift some based on the differential weighting of each individual choice in the weighted model:
data.frame(
Unweighted = coef(mnl_wtp_unweighted),
Weighted = coef(mnl_wtp_weighted)
)
#> Unweighted Weighted
#> scalePar 0.07387776 0.05228057
#> hev 0.80682602 -1.17622234
#> phev10 1.16499818 0.02721212
#> phev20 1.64739765 1.69457165
#> phev40 2.57953096 2.64970189
#> bev75 -16.04589966 -20.13756516
#> bev100 -13.00330902 -19.49765696
#> bev150 -9.57369897 -13.69209800
#> american 2.34294510 8.18759636
#> japanese -0.37569387 0.93419737
#> chinese -10.27060451 -19.00720730
#> skorean -6.03201950 -9.50984708
#> phevFastcharge 2.87970966 3.94416972
#> bevFastcharge 2.91871408 3.34370639
#> opCost -1.63605116 -1.59751702
#> accelTime -1.69708921 -1.17180684
Here is a comparison of the log-likelihood for the weighted and unweighted models:
These binaries (installable software) and packages are in development.
They may not be fully stable and should be used with caution. We make no claims about them.
Health stats visible at Monitor.