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Getting started with greenbook

library(greenbook)

Why greenbook

greenbook provides cost-benefit analysis primitives from the HM Treasury Green Book: the kinked STPR, discount factors, NPV, equivalent annual cost, GDP-deflator rebasing, optimism bias, distributional weights and monetised valuation.

All bundled parameter tables carry vintage metadata. Inspect with:

gb_data_versions()
#>         dataset
#> 1 stpr_schedule
#> 2  gdp_deflator
#> 3 optimism_bias
#> 4          metb
#> 5        wellby
#> 6           vpf
#> 7          qaly
#> 8 carbon_values
#>                                                                                                                                                    source
#> 1 HM Treasury Green Book supplementary guidance: discounting (updated 28 October 2026), paragraph 3.8; pre-October 2026 schedule from the 2003 Green Book
#> 2                                     HM Treasury, GDP deflators at market prices, and money GDP: October 2026 (Budget), calendar-year series, 2025 = 100
#> 3                                                                      HM Treasury Supplementary Green Book Guidance: Optimism Bias (Mott MacDonald 2002)
#> 4                                HM Treasury Green Book 2018 and 2022 (the 2026 edition specifies no uplift; see chapter 6 Costs of raising public funds)
#> 5                                                                                                        HMT Wellbeing Guidance for Appraisal (July 2021)
#> 6                                 DfT Transport Analysis Guidance (TAG) data book v2.03FC (December 2025), Table A4.1.1, WTP element for fatal casualties
#> 7                                                                                            DHSC Supplementary Green Book Guidance + NICE HTA thresholds
#> 8                                                DESNZ Valuation of Energy Use and GHG Emissions for Appraisal (November 2023), Data Tables 1-19, Table 3
#>   last_updated
#> 1   2026-10-31
#> 2   2026-10-31
#> 3   2026-04-26
#> 4   2026-04-26
#> 5   2026-04-26
#> 6   2026-04-26
#> 7   2026-04-26
#> 8   2026-04-26
#>                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          notes
#> 1 Vintage 2026-10 (default): 3.00/2.50/2.25 percent for years 1-30/31-75/76-125, no discounting beyond year 125, no health or catastrophic variants. Vintage 2003: 3.5/3.0/2.5/2.0/1.5/1.0 percent with health and catastrophic-risk variants.
#> 2                                                                 Outturn 1990-2025 (ONS Quarterly National Accounts, 30 September 2026). Forecast 2026-2031 chained from OBR October 2026 EFO growth rates; type column marks forecast years.
#> 3                                                                                                                            Indicative upper bounds for capex and duration uplift across six project categories. Values unchanged since 2003.
#> 4                                                                                                                           Uplift on revenue raised through distortionary taxation. 20 percent in 2018 onwards (was 30 percent historically).
#> 5                                                                                                                       WELLBY central value GBP 13000 in 2019 prices (low/central/high range). Convert to other base years via gb_deflator().
#> 6                                                                                                           Anchor 2023 = GBP 2,474,341 (WTP component). Other years derived by 2 percent annual real GDP per head growth per TAG methodology.
#> 7                                                                                                                        GBP 70k per QALY in 2024 prices for cross-government appraisal. NICE thresholds GBP 20k-30k retained for HTA context.
#> 8                                                                                                 Single consolidated series (replacing historical traded / non-traded split). Low / central / high paths 2020-2050 in 2022 prices, GBP/tCO2e.

The kinked STPR

The Green Book Social Time Preference Rate is 3.00 percent for years 1 to 30, 2.50 percent for years 31 to 75 and 2.25 percent for years 76 to 125, following HM Treasury’s update of 28 October 2026. gb_stpr() returns the rate for any year:

gb_stpr(c(10, 30, 31, 75, 76, 125))
#> [1] 0.0300 0.0300 0.0250 0.0250 0.0225 0.0225
gb_schedule_table()
#>   year_from year_to standard health catastrophic
#> 1         0      30   0.0300     NA           NA
#> 2        31      75   0.0250     NA           NA
#> 3        76     125   0.0225     NA           NA

HM Treasury advises against discounting beyond year 125, so the default schedule stops there. The schedule in force before October 2026, with its health and catastrophic-risk variants, is available as vintage = "2003" for reproducing earlier appraisals:

gb_stpr(c(10, 30, 31, 75, 76, 200, 300), vintage = "2003")
#> [1] 0.035 0.035 0.030 0.030 0.025 0.020 0.015
gb_schedule_table(vintage = "2003")
#>   year_from year_to standard health catastrophic
#> 1         0      30    0.035 0.0150       0.0300
#> 2        31      75    0.030 0.0129       0.0257
#> 3        76     125    0.025 0.0107       0.0214
#> 4       126     200    0.020 0.0086       0.0171
#> 5       201     300    0.015 0.0064       0.0129
#> 6       301    1000    0.010 0.0043       0.0086

Discount factors

gb_discount_factor() applies the kinked schedule annually using prod(1 + r_t):

gb_discount_factor(0:5)
#> [1] 1.0000000 0.9708738 0.9425959 0.9151417 0.8884870 0.8626088
gb_discount_factor(c(0, 30, 31, 75, 76))
#> [1] 1.0000000 0.4119868 0.4019383 0.1356155 0.1326313

The kink is correctly handled across band boundaries:

df_30 <- gb_discount_factor(30)
df_31 <- gb_discount_factor(31)
df_31 / df_30  # 1 / 1.025 = 0.9756, the year-31 single-period factor
#> [1] 0.9756098

Net present value

A simple appraisal: capex of GBP 100 in year 0, annual benefits of GBP 30 from year 1 to year 9.

costs <- c(100, rep(0, 9))
benefits <- c(0, rep(30, 9))
appraisal <- gb_npv(benefits - costs, base_year = 2024)
appraisal
#> 
#> ── Green Book appraisal ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
#> NPV (real, standard schedule): "GBP 133.6"
#> Horizon: 10 years (year 0 to 9)
#> Base year: 2024
#> Vintage: Green Book "2026-10"

The result is a gb_appraisal object with full provenance. Use summary() for a more detailed view:

summary(appraisal)
#> Green Book appraisal
#> --------------------
#> NPV          : GBP 133.6
#> Schedule     : standard
#> Horizon      : 10 years (year 0 to 9)
#> Base year    : 2024
#> Vintage      : Green Book 2026-10
#> Total inflow : GBP 270.0
#> Total outflow: GBP -100.0

Equivalent annual net cost

To compare options of different durations, annualise the NPV:

gb_eanc(appraisal)
#> [1] 17.15661

Real-terms rebasing

gb_real() converts nominal values at year-of-occurrence prices to real values at a chosen base year:

gb_real(nominal_values = c(100, 110, 120),
        year = 2020:2022,
        base_year = 2024)
#> [1] 117.4778 128.4301 132.4863

gb_rebase() does the same operation between two real-terms base years:

gb_rebase(c(100, 200, 300), from = 2020, to = 2024)
#> [1] 117.4778 234.9555 352.4333

gb_deflator() exposes the underlying factor:

gb_deflator(from = 2020, to = 2024)
#> [1] 1.174778

What’s next

v0.2.0 adds optimism bias (Mott MacDonald upper bounds), distributional weights, and Marginal Excess Tax Burden. v0.3.0 ships the valuation library: WELLBY, VPF, QALY, DESNZ carbon values. See the package GitHub repository for the full roadmap.

These binaries (installable software) and packages are in development.
They may not be fully stable and should be used with caution. We make no claims about them.
Health stats visible at Monitor.