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Fixed Landscape Inference MethOd allows likelihood free efficient inference for stochastic models.
The framework is simply:
For each parameter value \(\theta\), build a function that compare a certain number of (specific) simulations with data (e.g. for a scalar data, (mean(simulations(\(\theta\))-data))^2);
thanks to the specific management of the randomness, it’s possible to use determinsitic optimization algorithm to minimize that objective function.
This R-package works on its own and also with the Julia language for more efficiency.
More details about the inference method and the package can be found in the following paper : https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2210.06520. Please cite it if you use flimo.
The package uses the language Julia for some features. The link between R and Julia is done with the R-package [JuliaConnectoR] https://github.com/stefan-m-lenz/JuliaConnectoR.
Follow their recommendation:
“The package requires that Julia (version ≥ 1.0) is
installed and that the Julia executable is in the system search
PATH or that the JULIA_BINDIR environment
variable is set to the bin directory of the Julia
installation.”
You can install the released version of flimo from CRAN with:
install.packages("flimo")The flimo algorithm allows to infer parameters of continuous stochastic models. It is based on simple simulations of the process, with a specific randomness management.
The parameters of the model are grouped in a \(\theta\) vector.
The user needs to define one number and to build two functions:
The number of random draws to be made for a single simulation, called \(n_{draw}\). For example, a model with 10 runs, each based on 5 binomial draws, will have \(n_{draw} = 50\). An upper bound on this number is also appropriate.
a special simulator of the form simulatorQ(\(\theta\), quantiles). The way to build it from a usual random simulator is detailed in section Building simulatorQ with R below;
a function of the form dsumstats(data, simulations) measuring the difference in summary statistics between the observed data and the simulations w.r.t. the tested parameters.
These two functions can also be combined directly by the user into an objective function of the form: objective(\(\theta\), quantiles) to minimize.
The use of flimo is then easy:
#flimoptim(ndraw, data, dsumstats, simulatorQ)or
#flimoptim(ndraw, obj = objective)The various options and features are documented in the package manual. In particular, it is almost always necessary to adjust nsim (which affects the speed and accuracy of the calculation), lower and upper (the bounds of the parameter space).
Vignette provides two basic examples to learn how tu use flimo.
The first mode (“R”) is basic R: the optimization functions are the ones implemented in optim (package stats). Two methods are available: “L-BFGS-B” and “Brent”.
The second mode (“Julia”) uses Julia functions wrapped in package Jflimo.jl (see next section). It is designed to be up to 100 times faster than R for non-trivial models. The interface is in R but the user has to write two functions in Julia language: simulatorQ and dsumstats. Both of these names are mandatory for the Julia functions.
See Vignette to see how to build them.
Julia is relatively easy to learn. You can find a tutorial here:
https://www.freecodecamp.org/news/learn-julia-programming-language/
The Julia Jflimo package is available online https://metabarcoding.org/flimo/jflimo. To install it and other necessary packages once Julia is installed, the user can use the following function (only the first time):
#julia_setup()To write efficient code, you should follow these [Performances Tips]https://docs.julialang.org/en/v1/manual/performance-tips/. Package TimerOutputs is also a good tool.
The two examples of the vignette using Julia are presented at the end of this page.
In concrete terms, each random draw must be replaced by a call to the quantile function of the same distribution, taking into account the fact that several simulations can be done at the same time.
The quantile functions are then applied to a matrix quantiles that the user does not have to define himself, which is obtained in the package flimo by:
ndraw <- 5 #random draws for one simulation, e.g. 5 cycles here
nsim <- 10 #number of simulations to average
quantiles <- matrix(runif(ndraw*nsim), nrow = nsim)In the code of usual simulators, each line
rdistrib(n,parameters)
should be replaced by
qdistrib(quantiles[,i:(i+n-1)], parameters)
Example:
rnorm(5, mean = 0, sd = 1)
#> [1] 0.8672414 -1.5784402 -0.2918760 0.9841565 -1.0402933becomes
qnorm(quantiles[,1:5], mean = 0, sd = 1)
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] -0.34782224 -0.3967510 -1.30725379 0.5689414 0.16688808
#> [2,] 0.12917020 0.2906169 -1.50181525 0.6019140 0.23814810
#> [3,] -0.08018577 0.5334808 0.70101730 -0.3246339 -1.31112015
#> [4,] 0.99915793 -0.4276736 0.80845545 -0.7295606 -0.83459642
#> [5,] 2.18809576 -1.9612868 0.90043668 0.4904709 -0.15344521
#> [6,] 0.30922129 1.0470538 -0.13561444 0.7846481 -0.56685544
#> [7,] 1.52570792 -1.5697612 -0.07396329 0.7584592 0.41790599
#> [8,] 0.08070942 -1.8478335 1.36840144 0.1754735 0.07035972
#> [9,] 0.12500653 -0.7833601 -0.82447021 -0.3877886 0.14260788
#> [10,] 1.22803757 0.1919990 -1.08012009 -1.8801307 2.56684815Each row is an independent simulation.
The usual gradient-based optimization algorithm can’t covnerge in that framework because the quantile functions of discrete distributions are constant by pieces.
Your model has only one parameter: the Brent method is implemented for flimo;
replace every discrete distribution by a continuous one, e.g. : \(Poisson(\theta) \leftarrow Normal(\mu = \theta, \sigma^2 = \theta)\);
(in project for multidimensional problems: adapted Nelder-Mead method.)
Two applications are available in the [applications directory]https://metabarcoding.org/flimo/flimo/applications:
library(flimo)
library(JuliaConnectoR)
#Setup
set.seed(1)
#Create data
Theta_true1 <- 100 #data parameter
n1 <- 5 #data size
simulator1 <- function(Theta, n){
#classical random simulator
rpois(n, lambda = Theta)
}
data1 <- simulator1(Theta_true1, n1)
#Simulations with quantiles
ndraw1 <- n1 #number of random draws for one simulation
simulatorQ1 <- function(Theta, quantiles){
qpois(quantiles, lambda = Theta)
}
#With Normal approximation
simulatorQ1N <- function(Theta, quantiles){
qnorm(quantiles, mean = Theta, sd = sqrt(Theta))
}
nsim1 <- 10
#Sample Comparison: summary statistics
dsumstats1 <- function(simulations, data){
#simulations : 2D array
#data : 1D array
mean_simu <- mean(rowMeans(simulations))
mean_data <- mean(data)
(mean_simu-mean_data)^2
}There are optimization issues in R for normalized process and \(\theta\) close to 0. Lower bound set to 1.
#Optimization with normal approximation of Poisson distribution
#Default mode: full R
system.time(optim1R <- flimoptim(ndraw1, data1, dsumstats1, simulatorQ1N,
ninfer = 10,
nsim = nsim1,
lower = 1, upper = 1000,
randomTheta0 = TRUE))
#> utilisateur système écoulé
#> 0.044 0.003 0.052
summary(optim1R)
#> $Mode
#> [1] "R"
#>
#> $method
#> [1] "L-BFGS-B"
#>
#> $number_inferences
#> [1] 10
#>
#> $number_converged
#> [1] 10
#>
#> $minimizer
#> par1
#> Min. : 99.00
#> 1st Qu.: 99.81
#> Median :100.71
#> Mean :101.05
#> 3rd Qu.:101.88
#> Max. :105.06
#>
#> $minimum
#> Min. 1st Qu. Median Mean 3rd Qu. Max.
#> 1.140e-24 1.110e-22 2.989e-22 8.113e-21 6.841e-22 7.762e-20
#>
#> $median_time_inference
#> [1] 0.00235343
#Version with objective function provided
obj1 <- function(Theta, quantiles, data = data1){
simulations <- simulatorQ1N(Theta, quantiles)
dsumstats1(simulations, data)
}
system.time(optim1Rbis <- flimoptim(ndraw1,
obj = obj1,
ninfer = 10,
nsim = nsim1,
lower = 1, upper = 1000,
randomTheta0 = TRUE))
#> utilisateur système écoulé
#> 0.008 0.000 0.009
#Second mode : full Julia
#Optimization with Automatic Differentiation
#Warning : you need to translate dsumstats and simulatorQ to Julia
#Both of these names for the Julia functions are mandatory !
#Most accurate config for complex problems : IPNewton with AD
if (juliaSetupOk()){
julia_simulatorQ1N <-"
function simulatorQ(Theta, quantiles)
quantile.(Normal.(Theta, sqrt.(Theta)), quantiles)
end
"
julia_dsumstats1 <-"
function dsumstats(simulations, data)
(mean(mean(simulations, dims = 2))-mean(data))^2
end
"
system.time(optim1JAD <- flimoptim(ndraw1, data1, julia_dsumstats1, julia_simulatorQ1N,
ninfer = 10,
nsim = nsim1,
lower = 0,
upper = 1000,
randomTheta0 = TRUE,
mode = "Julia",
load_julia = TRUE))
summary(optim1JAD)
#IPNewton without AD
system.time(optim1J <- flimoptim(ndraw1, data1, julia_dsumstats1, julia_simulatorQ1N,
ninfer = 10, nsim = nsim1, lower = 0, upper = 1000,
randomTheta0 = TRUE, mode = "Julia", AD = FALSE))
optim1J
summary(optim1J)
#Brent
system.time(
optim1JBrent <- flimoptim(ndraw1,
data1,
julia_dsumstats1,
julia_simulatorQ1N,
ninfer = 10,
nsim = nsim1,
lower = 0,
upper = 1000,
randomTheta0 = TRUE,
mode = "Julia",
method = "Brent")
)
summary(optim1JBrent)
}
#> Starting Julia ...
#> $Mode
#> [1] "Julia"
#>
#> $method
#> [1] "Brent()"
#>
#> $number_inferences
#> [1] 10
#>
#> $number_converged
#> [1] 10
#>
#> $minimizer
#> par1
#> Min. : 99.4
#> 1st Qu.:100.5
#> Median :101.5
#> Mean :101.3
#> 3rd Qu.:102.1
#> Max. :102.8
#>
#> $minimum
#> Min. 1st Qu. Median Mean 3rd Qu. Max.
#> 0.000e+00 3.169e-16 1.429e-14 1.211e-13 2.065e-13 4.706e-13#Setup
set.seed(1)
#Create data
Theta_true2 <- c(3, 2) #data parameter
n2 <- 5 #data size
simulator2 <- function(Theta, n){
#classical random simulator
rnorm(n, mean = Theta[1], sd = Theta[2])
}
data2 <- simulator2(Theta_true2, n2)
#Simulations with quantiles
simulatorQ2 <- function(Theta, quantiles){
qnorm(quantiles, mean = Theta[1], sd = Theta[2])
}
ndraw2 <- 5
dsumstats2 <-function(simulations, data){
mean_simu <- mean(rowMeans(simulations))
mean_data <- mean(data)
sd_simu <-mean(apply(simulations, 1, sd))
sd_data <- sd(data)
(mean_simu-mean_data)^2+(sd_simu-sd_data)^2
}
nsim2 <- 10#Optimization
#Default mode: full R
optim2R <- flimoptim(ndraw2, data2, dsumstats2, simulatorQ2,
ninfer = 10, nsim = nsim2,
lower = c(-5, 0), upper = c(10, 10),
randomTheta0 = TRUE)
summary(optim2R)
#> $Mode
#> [1] "R"
#>
#> $method
#> [1] "L-BFGS-B"
#>
#> $number_inferences
#> [1] 10
#>
#> $number_converged
#> [1] 10
#>
#> $minimizer
#> par1 par2
#> Min. :2.896 Min. :1.824
#> 1st Qu.:2.955 1st Qu.:1.979
#> Median :3.201 Median :2.168
#> Mean :3.247 Mean :2.128
#> 3rd Qu.:3.422 3rd Qu.:2.229
#> Max. :4.024 Max. :2.393
#>
#> $minimum
#> Min. 1st Qu. Median Mean 3rd Qu. Max.
#> 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.400e-20 1.395e-15 4.208e-18 1.394e-14
#>
#> $median_time_inference
#> [1] 0.01571453
#Second mode : full Julia
#Optimization with Automatic Differentiation
#Warning : you need to translate dsumstats and simulatorQ to Julia
#Both of these names for the Julia functions are mandatory !
if (juliaSetupOk()){
julia_simulatorQ2 <-"
function simulatorQ(Theta, quantiles)
quantile.(Normal.(Theta[1], Theta[2]), quantiles)
end
"
julia_dsumstats2 <-"
function dsumstats(simulations, data)
(mean(mean(simulations, dims = 2))-mean(data))^2+
(mean(std(simulations, dims = 2))-std(data))^2
end
"
#Most accurate config for complex problems : IPNewton with AD
optim2JIPAD <- flimoptim(ndraw2, data2, julia_dsumstats2, julia_simulatorQ2,
ninfer = 10, nsim = nsim2,
lower = c(-5, 0), upper = c(10, 10),
randomTheta0 = TRUE,
mode = "Julia")
summary(optim2JIPAD)
#IPNewton without AD
optim2JIP <- flimoptim(ndraw2, data2, julia_dsumstats2, julia_simulatorQ2,
ninfer = 10, nsim = nsim2,
lower = c(-5, 0), upper = c(10, 10),
randomTheta0 = TRUE,
mode = "Julia")
summary(optim2JIP)
#Nelder-Mead
#No bounds allowed inside NM method: objective function is overridden
julia_simulatorQ2NM <-"
function simulatorQ(Theta, quantiles)
if Theta[2] < 0
fill(Inf, size(quantiles))
else
quantile.(Normal.(Theta[1], Theta[2]), quantiles)
end
end
"
optim2JNM <- flimoptim(ndraw2,
data2, julia_dsumstats2, julia_simulatorQ2NM,
ninfer = 10,
nsim = nsim2,
lower = c(-5, 0),
upper = c(10, 10),
randomTheta0 = TRUE,
mode = "Julia",
method = "NelderMead")
summary(optim2JNM)
}
#> $Mode
#> [1] "Julia"
#>
#> $method
#> [1] "NelderMead{Optim.AffineSimplexer,Optim.AdaptiveParameters}"
#>
#> $number_inferences
#> [1] 10
#>
#> $number_converged
#> [1] 10
#>
#> $minimizer
#> par1 par2
#> Min. :3.118 Min. :1.917
#> 1st Qu.:3.243 1st Qu.:2.124
#> Median :3.332 Median :2.174
#> Mean :3.381 Mean :2.189
#> 3rd Qu.:3.547 3rd Qu.:2.259
#> Max. :3.640 Max. :2.580
#>
#> $minimum
#> Min. 1st Qu. Median Mean 3rd Qu. Max.
#> 2.032e-10 1.391e-09 3.262e-09 2.677e-09 3.843e-09 4.524e-09These binaries (installable software) and packages are in development.
They may not be fully stable and should be used with caution. We make no claims about them.
Health stats visible at Monitor.