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Canonical replications: top 1% share, corporate ETR, tax gap trend

Three canonical tax-research exercises, each in around 20 lines.

1. Top 1 per cent income share (Atkinson-Leigh style)

The approach below loosely mirrors Atkinson and Leigh (2007), “The Distribution of Top Incomes in Australia,” Economic Record, 83(262), 247-261 (https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4932.2007.00412.x). The Atkinson-Leigh method reconstructs top-income shares from ATO published tabulations; a postcode-based approximation is a cruder but data-only proxy. For rigorous top-share work use Pareto interpolation on the ATO top-percentile table or apply for ALife microdata access. See also Burkhauser, Hahn and Wilkins (2015) for caveats (https://doi.org/10.1007/s10888-014-9281-z).

library(ato)
ato_snapshot("2026-04-24")

pc_panel <- ato_individuals_postcode(
  year = c("2015-16", "2016-17", "2017-18", "2018-19",
           "2019-20", "2020-21", "2021-22", "2022-23")
)
pc_panel <- ato_harmonise(pc_panel)

# For each year, rank postcodes by mean taxable income per return,
# take top 1% of returns, compute their share of total income.
top1 <- function(df) {
  df <- df[order(-df$taxable_income / df$number_of_individuals), ]
  cum_returns <- cumsum(df$number_of_individuals)
  total_returns <- sum(df$number_of_individuals, na.rm = TRUE)
  cutoff <- which(cum_returns >= 0.01 * total_returns)[1]
  sum(df$taxable_income[seq_len(cutoff)], na.rm = TRUE) /
    sum(df$taxable_income, na.rm = TRUE)
}

shares <- by(pc_panel, pc_panel$year, top1)
shares

2. Corporate effective tax rate by industry (transparency data)

ctt <- ato_top_taxpayers(year = "2022-23")

# Effective tax rate = tax payable / taxable income, for entities
# with positive taxable income. Drop zero-taxable rows (they bias
# the ratio; rely on loss-makers analysis separately).
ctt <- ctt[!is.na(ctt$taxable_income) & ctt$taxable_income > 0, ]
ctt$etr <- ctt$tax_payable / ctt$taxable_income

by_industry <- aggregate(etr ~ entity_type, data = ctt, FUN = median)
by_industry[order(-by_industry$etr), ]

3. Tax gap trend and confidence context

tg <- ato_tax_gaps()

library(ggplot2)
ggplot(tg, aes(x = year, y = tax_gap_estimate,
               colour = tax_gap_type)) +
  geom_line() +
  labs(title = "ATO estimated tax gaps over time",
       x = NULL, y = "Estimated tax gap (AUD million)",
       colour = "Gap type",
       caption = "Source: ATO Taxation Statistics. Retrieved via ato package.") +
  theme_minimal()

4. HELP debt by age cohort

help_data <- ato_help()

# Bucketed by age range; real-terms deflation to 2022-23
help_data$real <- ato_deflate(help_data$total_debt,
                               year = help_data$year,
                               base = "2022-23")
head(help_data)

Each of these replications takes an ATO published release, a harmonise/deflate/reconcile transformation, and a small computation. The provenance header (snapshot pin + SHA-256) makes the result fully auditable.

These binaries (installable software) and packages are in development.
They may not be fully stable and should be used with caution. We make no claims about them.
Health stats visible at Monitor.