The pcFactorStan package for R provides convenience functions and pre-programmed Stan models related to analysis of paired comparison data. Its purpose is to make fitting models using Stan easy and easy to understand. pcFactorStan relies on the rstan package, which should be installed first. See here for instructions on installing rstan.
One situation where a factor model might be useful is when there are people that play in tournaments of more than one game. For example, the computer player AlphaZero (Silver et al. 2018) has trained to play chess, shogi, and Go. We can take the tournament match outcome data for each of these games and find rankings among the players. We may also suspect that there is a latent board game skill that accounts for some proportion of the variance in the per-board game rankings. This proportion can be recovered by the factor model.
Our goal may be to fit a factor model, but it is necessary to build up the model step-by-step. There are essentially three models: ‘unidim’, ‘correlation’, and ‘factor’. ‘unidim’ analyzes a single item. ‘correlation’ is suitable for two or more items. Once you have vetted your items with the ‘unidim’ and ‘correlation’ models, then you can try the ‘factor’ model. There is also a special model ‘unidim_adapt’. Except for this model, the other models require scaling constants. To find appropriate scaling constants, we will fit ‘unidim_adapt’ to each item separately.
The R code below first loads rstan and pcFactorStan.
library(rstan)
library(pcFactorStan)
Next we take a peek at the data.
head(phyActFlowPropensity)
pa1 | pa2 | skill | predict | novelty | creative | complex | goal1 | feedback1 | chatter | waiting | body | control | present | spont | stakes | evaluated | reward |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
mountain biking | tennis | 1 | -1 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
mountain biking | tennis | 1 | 2 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
ice skating | running | -2 | 1 | -1 | -2 | -1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -2 | -1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 0 |
climbing | rowing | -2 | 2 | -2 | -2 | -2 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
card game | gardening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
dance | table tennis | 0 | -2 | -1 | -1 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
These data consist of paired comparisons of 87 physical activities on 16 flow-related facets. Participants submitted two activities using free-form input. These activities were substituted into item templates. For example, Item predict consisted of the prompt, “How predictable is the action?” with response options:
A1
is much more predictable than A2
.A1
is somewhat more predictable than A2
.A2
is somewhat more predictable than A1
.A2
is much more predictable than A1
.If the participant selected ‘golf’ and ‘running’ for activities then ‘golf’ was substituted into A1
and ‘running’ into A2
. Duly prepared, the item was presented and the participant asked to select the most plausible statement.
A somewhat more response is scored 1 or -1 and much more scored 2 or -2. A tie (i.e. roughly equal) is scored as zero. We will need to analyze each item separately before we analyze them together. Therefore, we will start with Item skill.
Data must be fed into Stan in a partially digested form. The next block of code demonstrates how a suitable data list may be constructed using the prepData()
function. This function automatically determines the number of threshold parameters based on the range observed in your data. One thing it does not do is pick a varCorrection
factor. The varCorrection
determines the degree of adaption in the model. Usually some choice between 2.0 to 4.0 will obtain optimal results.
dl <- prepData(phyActFlowPropensity[,c(paste0('pa',1:2), 'skill')])
dl$varCorrection <- 2.0
Next we fit the model using the pcStan()
function, which is a wrapper for stan()
from rstan. We also choose the number of chains. As is customary Stan procedure, the first half of each chain is used to estimate the sampler’s weight matrix (i.e. warm up) and excluded from inference.
fit1 <- pcStan("unidim_adapt", data=dl)
A variety of diagnostics are available to check whether the sampler ran into trouble.
check_hmc_diagnostics(fit1)
#>
#> Divergences:
#> 0 of 4000 iterations ended with a divergence.
#>
#> Tree depth:
#> 0 of 4000 iterations saturated the maximum tree depth of 10.
#>
#> Energy:
#> E-BFMI indicated no pathological behavior.
Everything looks good, but there are a few more things to check. We want \(\widehat R\) < 1.015 and effective sample size greater than 100 times the number of chains (Vehtari et al., 2019).
allPars <- summary(fit1, probs=c())$summary
print(min(allPars[,'n_eff']))
#> [1] 675.4
print(max(allPars[,'Rhat']))
#> [1] 1.005
Again, everything looks good. If the target values were not reached then we would sample the model again with more iterations. Time for a plot,
library(ggplot2)
theta <- summary(fit1, pars=c("theta"), probs=c())$summary[,'mean']
ggplot(data.frame(x=theta, activity=dl$nameInfo$pa, y=0.47)) +
geom_point(aes(x=x),y=0) +
geom_text(aes(label=activity, x=x, y=y),
angle=85, hjust=0, size=2,
position = position_jitter(width = 0, height = 0.4)) + ylim(0,1) +
theme(legend.position="none",
axis.title.x=element_blank(),
axis.title.y=element_blank(),
axis.text.y=element_blank(),
axis.ticks.y=element_blank())
Intuitively, this seems like a fairly reasonable ranking for skill. As pretty as the plot is, the main reason that we fit this model was to find a scaling constant to produce a standard deviation close to 1.0,
s50 <- summary(fit1, pars=c("scale"), probs=c(.5))$summary[,'50%']
print(s50)
#> [1] 0.5877
We use the median instead of the mean because scale
is not likely to have a symmetric marginal posterior distribution. We obtained 0.5877, but that value is just for one item. We have to perform the same procedure for every item. Wow, that would be really tedious … if we did not have a function to do it for us! Fortunately, calibrateItems
takes care of it and produces a table of the pertinent data,
result <- calibrateItems(phyActFlowPropensity, iter=1000L)
print(result)
item | iter | divergent | treedepth | low_bfmi | n_eff | Rhat | scale | thetaVar |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
skill | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 492.46 | 1.007 | 0.5901 | 1.0213 |
predict | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 641.66 | 1.003 | 0.5686 | 0.9963 |
novelty | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 774.62 | 1.004 | 0.4728 | 0.8811 |
creative | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 690.77 | 1.004 | 0.4692 | 0.8765 |
complex | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 467.95 | 1.007 | 0.5349 | 0.9566 |
goal1 | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 94.72 | 1.030 | 0.0869 | 0.2848 |
feedback1 | 3375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 435.95 | 1.002 | 0.1567 | 0.4220 |
chatter | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1024.80 | 1.002 | 0.2468 | 0.5712 |
waiting | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 532.23 | 1.003 | 0.4969 | 0.9106 |
body | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 960.07 | 1.003 | 0.3628 | 0.7385 |
control | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1030.68 | 1.004 | 0.3149 | 0.6719 |
present | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1059.55 | 1.005 | 0.2365 | 0.5551 |
spont | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1231.19 | 1.001 | 0.2622 | 0.5947 |
stakes | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 889.16 | 1.001 | 0.2801 | 0.6214 |
evaluated | 1500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 988.22 | 1.004 | 0.4423 | 0.8427 |
reward | 1000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 898.49 | 1.012 | 0.2165 | 0.5234 |
Item goal1 ran into trouble. A nonzero count of divergent transitions or low_bfmi means that the item contained too little signal to estimate. Item feedback1 is also prone to failure. We could try again with varCorrection=1.0
, but we are going to exclude these items instead. The model succeeded on the rest of the items. I requested iter=1000L
to demonstrate how calibrateItems
will resample the model until the n_eff
is large enough and the Rhat
small enough. As demonstrated in the iter column, some items needed more than 1000 samples to converge.
Next we will fit the correlation model. We exclude the Cholesky factor of the correlation matrix rawThetaCorChol
because the regular correlation matrix is also output.
pafp <- phyActFlowPropensity
excl <- match(c('goal1','feedback1'), colnames(pafp))
pafp <- pafp[,-excl]
dl <- prepData(pafp)
dl$scale <- result[-excl,'scale']
fit2 <- pcStan("correlation", data=dl, include=FALSE, pars=c('rawTheta', 'rawThetaCorChol'))
check_hmc_diagnostics(fit2)
#>
#> Divergences:
#> 0 of 4000 iterations ended with a divergence.
#>
#> Tree depth:
#> 0 of 4000 iterations saturated the maximum tree depth of 10.
#>
#> Energy:
#> E-BFMI indicated no pathological behavior.
allPars <- summary(fit2, probs=0.5)$summary
print(min(allPars[,'n_eff']))
#> [1] NaN
print(max(allPars[,'Rhat']))
#> [1] NaN
The HMC diagnostics look good, but … oh dear! Something is wrong with the n_eff
and \(\widehat R\). Let us look more carefully,
head(allPars[order(allPars[,'sd']),])
#> mean se_mean sd 50% n_eff Rhat
#> thetaCor[1,1] 1 NaN 0.000e+00 1 NaN NaN
#> thetaCor[3,3] 1 1.264e-18 6.303e-17 1 2487.0 0.999
#> thetaCor[2,2] 1 1.030e-18 6.347e-17 1 3798.2 0.999
#> thetaCor[4,4] 1 4.778e-18 6.925e-17 1 210.1 0.999
#> thetaCor[5,5] 1 1.468e-18 7.042e-17 1 2302.7 0.999
#> thetaCor[7,7] 1 1.512e-18 7.725e-17 1 2609.9 0.999
Ah ha! It looks like all the entries of the correlation matrix are reported, including the entries that are not stochastic but are fixed to constant values. We need to filter those out to get sensible results.
allPars <- allPars[allPars[,'sd'] > 1e-6,]
print(min(allPars[,'n_eff']))
#> [1] 971.2
print(max(allPars[,'Rhat']))
#> [1] 1.003
Ah, much better. Now we can inspect the correlation matrix. There are many ways to visualize a correlation matrix. One of my favorite ways is to plot it using the qgraph package,
covItemNames <- dl$nameInfo$item
tc <- summary(fit2, pars=c("thetaCor"), probs=c(.5))$summary[,'50%']
tcor <- matrix(tc, length(covItemNames), length(covItemNames))
dimnames(tcor) <- list(covItemNames, covItemNames)
library(qgraph)
#> Registered S3 methods overwritten by 'huge':
#> method from
#> plot.sim BDgraph
#> print.sim BDgraph
qgraph(tcor, layout = "spring", graph = "cor", labels=colnames(tcor),
legend.cex = 0.3,
cut = 0.3, maximum = 1, minimum = 0, esize = 20,
vsize = 7, repulsion = 0.8, negDashed=TRUE, theme="colorblind")
Based on this plot and theoretical considerations, I decided to exclude spont, control, evaluated, and waiting from the factor model. A detailed rationale for why these items, and not others, are excluded will be presented in a forthcoming article. For now, let us focus on the mechanics of data analysis. Here are item response curves,
df <- responseCurve(dl, fit2,
item=setdiff(dl$nameInfo$item, c('spont','control','evaluated','waiting')),
responseNames=c("much more","somewhat more", 'equal',
"somewhat less", "much less"))
ggplot(df) +
geom_line(aes(x=worthDiff,y=prob,color=response,linetype=response,
group=responseSample), size=.2, alpha=.2) +
xlab("difference in latent worths") + ylab("probability") +
ylim(0,1) + facet_wrap(~item) +
guides(color=guide_legend(override.aes=list(alpha = 1, size=1)))
These response curves are a function of the thresholds
, scale
, and alpha
parameters. A detailed description of the item response model can be found in the man page for responseCurve
. A large alpha
(>1) can mean that the item discriminates among objects well. However, it can also mean that the model predicts all responses will be equal. If most observed responses are indeed equal then this can result in good model fit, but we can also infer that the item is useless.
alpha <- summary(fit2, pars=c("alpha"), probs=c(.5))$summary
rownames(alpha) <- covItemNames
print(alpha[alpha[,'sd']>.25,,drop=FALSE])
mean | se_mean | sd | 50% | n_eff | Rhat | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
chatter | 2.046 | 0.0084 | 0.4039 | 2.016 | 2309 | 1.002 |
waiting | 2.905 | 0.0076 | 0.3972 | 2.873 | 2766 | 1.000 |
I already decided to exclude waiting by inspection of the correlation matrix. Item chatter is on the borderline, but we can retain it.
We will enter the alpha
parameters into the factor model as non-stochastic data. Trying to estimate alpha
in the factor model causes bias, at least in the models that I have tried. The factor model is prone to increase both alpha
and the magnitude of factor proportions at the expense of threshold
accuracy. To treat alpha
as non-stochastic reduces variability in the factor model, but not by much. Simulations indicate that the posterior distribution remains well calibrated.
I will fit model ‘factor_ll’ instead of ‘factor’ so I can use the loo package to look for outliers. We also need to take care that the data pafp
matches, one-to-one, the data seen by Stan so we can map back from the model to the data. Hence, we update pafp
using the usual the data cleaning sequence of filterGraph
and normalizeData
and pass the result to prepCleanData
.
pafp <- pafp[,c(paste0('pa',1:2),
setdiff(covItemNames, c('spont','control','evaluated','waiting')))]
pafp <- normalizeData(filterGraph(pafp))
dl <- prepCleanData(pafp)
dl$scale <- result[match(dl$nameInfo$item, result$item), 'scale']
dl$alpha <- alpha[match(dl$nameInfo$item, rownames(alpha)), 'mean']
fit3 <- pcStan("factor_ll", data=dl, include=FALSE, iter=3000,
pars=c('rawUnique', 'rawUniqueTheta', 'rawFactor', 'rawLoadings'))
To check the fit diagnostics, we have to take care to examine only the parameters of interest. The factor model outputs many parameters that should not be interpreted. For example, we do not care about log_lik
because this vector contains per-observation likelihoods for loo. We also ignore theta
because it is a function of the other parameters.
check_hmc_diagnostics(fit3)
#>
#> Divergences:
#> 0 of 6000 iterations ended with a divergence.
#>
#> Tree depth:
#> 0 of 6000 iterations saturated the maximum tree depth of 10.
#>
#> Energy:
#> E-BFMI indicated no pathological behavior.
interest <- c("threshold", "factorLoadings", "factorProp", "factor",
"unique", "uniqueTheta", "lp__")
allPars <- summary(fit3, pars=interest)$summary
print(min(allPars[,'n_eff']))
#> [1] 569.7
print(max(allPars[,'Rhat']))
#> [1] 1.013
Looks good! Let us see which data are the most unexpected by the model. We create a loo
object and pass that to outlierTable
.
options(mc.cores=1) # otherwise loo consumes too much RAM
l1 <- toLoo(fit3)
#> Warning: Some Pareto k diagnostic values are slightly high. See help('pareto-k-diagnostic') for details.
kThreshold <- 0.3
ot <- outlierTable(dl, l1, kThreshold)
print(ot)
pa1 | pa2 | item | pick | k | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | running | artistic gymnastics | predict | 2 | 0.5699 |
2 | table tennis | disc golf | body | 2 | 0.4622 |
3 | mountain biking | climbing | skill | 2 | 0.4457 |
4 | climbing | rowing | skill | -2 | 0.4231 |
5 | walking | cue sports | skill | 2 | 0.4103 |
6 | climbing | pilates | skill | 2 | 0.4043 |
7 | skateboarding | lacrosse | skill | 2 | 0.3893 |
8 | martial arts | netball | skill | 0 | 0.3831 |
9 | martial arts | boxing | chatter | -2 | 0.3827 |
10 | Australian football | cricket | predict | 2 | 0.3752 |
11 | tennis | water skiing | novelty | -2 | 0.3747 |
12 | table tennis | cue sports | predict | 2 | 0.3746 |
13 | climbing | rowing | predict | 2 | 0.3717 |
14 | horseback riding | obstacle course | skill | -2 | 0.3704 |
15 | rowing | cricket | body | -2 | 0.3634 |
16 | running | fishing | body | -2 | 0.3605 |
17 | table tennis | cue sports | novelty | -1 | 0.3602 |
18 | cricket | kabaddi in India | skill | 2 | 0.3599 |
19 | running | badminton | predict | 1 | 0.3575 |
20 | calisthenics | sex | creative | -2 | 0.3559 |
21 | calisthenics | stretching | skill | -1 | 0.3531 |
22 | soccer | artistic gymnastics | skill | 2 | 0.3517 |
23 | basketball | ultimate frisbee | chatter | -2 | 0.3510 |
24 | skateboarding | lacrosse | body | 2 | 0.3463 |
25 | Australian football | cricket | creative | 2 | 0.3440 |
26 | Australian football | cricket | body | -2 | 0.3439 |
27 | hockey | snow skiing | predict | 2 | 0.3432 |
28 | basketball | paintball | skill | -1 | 0.3412 |
29 | fishing | walking | body | 2 | 0.3407 |
30 | roller derby | disc golf | complex | 1 | 0.3401 |
31 | table tennis | cue sports | creative | 2 | 0.3377 |
32 | hatha yoga | pilates | present | 0 | 0.3365 |
33 | football | lacrosse | predict | 0 | 0.3340 |
34 | tennis | water skiing | predict | -2 | 0.3337 |
35 | mountain biking | racquetball | chatter | -2 | 0.3334 |
36 | martial arts | boxing | reward | 2 | 0.3331 |
37 | calisthenics | aerobic exercise | novelty | -2 | 0.3311 |
38 | skateboarding | lacrosse | predict | -2 | 0.3304 |
39 | snow skiing | water skiing | skill | -1 | 0.3297 |
40 | basketball | paintball | creative | 2 | 0.3280 |
41 | gardening | walking | chatter | 2 | 0.3280 |
42 | climbing | pilates | body | -2 | 0.3238 |
43 | climbing | rowing | creative | -2 | 0.3236 |
44 | roller derby | disc golf | novelty | -2 | 0.3224 |
45 | martial arts | netball | creative | 0 | 0.3214 |
46 | dance | running on a treadmill | chatter | -2 | 0.3208 |
47 | cycling | roller derby | chatter | 2 | 0.3176 |
48 | running | roller skating | body | -1 | 0.3133 |
49 | soccer | artistic gymnastics | complex | 2 | 0.3116 |
50 | snow skiing | water skiing | predict | 1 | 0.3097 |
51 | bowling | baseball | predict | -2 | 0.3066 |
52 | rowing | cricket | present | -1 | 0.3065 |
53 | fishing | walking | creative | 1 | 0.3047 |
54 | hockey | lacrosse | predict | 0 | 0.3035 |
55 | soccer | rugby | novelty | 2 | 0.3030 |
56 | swimming | skateboarding | complex | 1 | 0.3020 |
57 | rowing | bowling | body | 1 | 0.3020 |
58 | swimming | pilates | reward | 0 | 0.3005 |
59 | calisthenics | aerobic exercise | creative | -2 | 0.3005 |
Observations with \(k>0.5\) can be regarded as outliers. Due to Monte Carlo error, every sampling run may identify outliers in a slightly different order. We use a threshold of 0.3 instead of 0.5 to ensure that ample lines are shown.
xx <- which(ot[,'pa1'] == 'tennis' & ot[,'pa2'] == 'water skiing' & ot[,'item'] == 'predict' & ot[,'pick'] == -2)
We will take a closer look at row 34. What does a pick
of -2 mean? Pick
numbers are converted to response categories by adding the number of thresholds plus one. There are two thresholds (much and somewhat) so 3 + -2 = 1. Looking back at our item response curve plot, the legend gives the response category order from top (1) to bottom (5). The first response category is much more. Putting it all together we obtain an endorsement of tennis is much more predictable than water skiing. Specifically what about that assertion is unexpected? We can examine how other participants have responded,
pafp[pafp$pa1 == ot[xx,'pa1'] & pafp$pa2 == ot[xx,'pa2'],
c('pa1','pa2', as.character(ot[xx,'item']))]
#> pa1 pa2 predict
#> 142 tennis water skiing -2
Hm, this is the only participant that compared tennis and water skiing. Let us look a little deeper to understand why this response was unexpected.
loc <- sapply(ot[xx,c('pa1','pa2','item')], unfactor)
exam <- summary(fit3, pars=paste0("theta[",loc[paste0('pa',1:2)],
",", loc['item'],"]"))$summary
mean | se_mean | sd | 2.5% | 25% | 50% | 75% | 97.5% | n_eff | Rhat | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
theta[2,2] | -0.7912 | 0.0043 | 0.2748 | -1.328 | -0.9761 | -0.7891 | -0.6008 | -0.2632 | 4003 | 1.0015 |
theta[22,2] | -0.2834 | 0.0067 | 0.6935 | -1.665 | -0.7363 | -0.2837 | 0.1790 | 1.0748 | 10774 | 0.9999 |
Here we find that, based on comparisons with other activities, water skiing was estimated about 0.5078 units more predictable than tennis. However, note the wide posterior quantiles! What are the sample sizes associated with these activities?
sum(c(pafp$pa1 == ot[xx,'pa1'], pafp$pa2 == ot[xx,'pa1']))
#> [1] 72
sum(c(pafp$pa1 == ot[xx,'pa2'], pafp$pa2 == ot[xx,'pa2']))
#> [1] 2
Ah, no wonder, predictability’s 95% uncertainty interval for water skiing is from -1.6653 to 1.0748. So there is practically no information. We could continue our investigation by looking at which responses justified these predict estimates. However, let us move on and plot the marginal posterior distributions of the factor proportions,
pi <- parInterval(fit3, 'factorProp', dl$nameInfo$item, label='item')
pi <- pi[order(abs(pi$M)),]
pi$item <- factor(pi$item, levels=pi$item)
ggplot(pi) +
geom_vline(xintercept=0, color="green") +
geom_jitter(data=parDistributionFor(fit3, pi),
aes(value, item), height = 0.35, alpha=.05) +
geom_segment(aes(y=item, yend=item, x=L, xend=U),
color="yellow", alpha=.5) +
geom_point(aes(x=M, y=item), color="red", size=1) +
theme(axis.title.y=element_blank())
Finally, we can plot the factor scores. By default, activities with small sample sizes are retained by filterGraph
if they connect other activities because they contribute information to the model. However, when we look at the per-activity factor scores, we can limit ourselves to activities with a sample size of at least 11.
pa11 <- levels(filterGraph(pafp, minDifferent=11L)$pa1)
pick <- paste0('factor[',match(pa11, dl$nameInfo$pa),']')
pi <- parInterval(fit3, pick, pa11, label='activity')
pi <- pi[order(pi$M),]
pi$activity <- factor(pi$activity, levels=pi$activity)
ggplot(pi) +
geom_vline(xintercept=0, color="green") +
geom_jitter(data=parDistributionFor(fit3, pi, samples=250),
aes(value, activity), height = 0.35, alpha=.05) +
geom_segment(aes(y=activity, yend=activity, x=L, xend=U),
color="yellow", alpha=.5) +
geom_point(aes(x=M, y=activity), color="red", size=1) +
theme(axis.title.y=element_blank())
And there you have it. If you have not done so already, go find a dojo and commence study of martial arts!
Given that my background is more in software than math, I am not a fan of the greek letters used with such enthusiasm by mathematicians. When I name variables, I favor the expressive over the succinct.
If you read through the Stan models included with this package, you will find some variables prefixed with raw
. These are special variables internal to the model. In particular, you should not try to evaluate the \(\widehat R\) or effective sample size of raw
parameters. These parameters are best excluded from the sampling output.
parameter | prior | purpose |
---|---|---|
threshold | normal(0,2) | item response thresholds |
theta | normal(0,sigma) | latent score |
sigma | lognormal(1,1) | latent score scale |
scale | N/A | latent score scaling constant |
The ‘unidim_adapt’ model has a varCorrection
constant that is used to calibrate the scale
. For all other models, per-item scale
must be passed in as data. scale
has no substantive interpretation, but it is used to partition signal between object variance and item discrimination. While object variance has no substantive interpretation, item discrimination is interpretable.
parameter | prior | purpose |
---|---|---|
threshold | normal(0,2) | item response thresholds |
alpha | exponential(0.1) | item discrimination |
theta | normal(0,1) | latent score |
parameter | prior | purpose |
---|---|---|
threshold | normal(0,2) | item response thresholds |
alpha | exponential(0.1) | item discrimination |
thetaCor | lkj(2) | correlations between items |
theta | see below | latent score |
Thresholds for all items are combined into a single vector. The prior for theta
is multivariate normal with correlations thetaCor
and scale 1.0. Exclude rawTheta
and rawThetaCorChol
from sampling reports.
parameter | prior | purpose |
---|---|---|
threshold | normal(0,2) | item response thresholds |
unique | normal(1,1) | scale of unique scores |
uniqueTheta | normal(0,1) | unique scores |
factorLoadings | normal(0,1) | signed scale of factor scores |
factor | normal(0,1) | factor scores |
factorProp | N/A | signed factor variance proportion |
sigma | N/A | relative item scale |
Thresholds for all items are combined into a single vector. factorProp
is computed using Equation 3 of Gelman et al. (in press) and has no prior of its own. factorLoadings
is in standard deviation units but can be negative. Similarly, factorProp
is a signed proportion bounded between -1 and 1. Exclude rawUnique
, rawUniqueTheta
, rawFactor
, and rawLoadings
from sampling.
Gelman, A., Goodrich, B., Gabry, J., & Vehtari, A. (in press). R-squared for Bayesian regression models. The American Statistician. DOI: 10.1080/00031305.2018.1549100
Silver, D., Hubert, T., Schrittwieser, J., Antonoglou, I., Lai, M., Guez, A., … & Lillicrap, T. (2018). A general reinforcement learning algorithm that masters chess, shogi, and Go through self-play. Science, 362(6419), 1140-1144.
Vehtari, A., Gelman, A., Simpson, D., Carpenter, B., & Bürkner, P. C. (2019). Rank-normalization, folding, and localization: An improved \(\widehat R\) for assessing convergence of MCMC. arXiv preprint arXiv:1903.08008.
sessionInfo()
#> R version 3.6.1 (2019-07-05)
#> Platform: x86_64-pc-linux-gnu (64-bit)
#> Running under: Ubuntu 19.04
#>
#> Matrix products: default
#> BLAS: /usr/lib/x86_64-linux-gnu/blas/libblas.so.3.8.0
#> LAPACK: /usr/lib/x86_64-linux-gnu/lapack/liblapack.so.3.8.0
#>
#> locale:
#> [1] LC_CTYPE=en_US.UTF-8 LC_NUMERIC=C
#> [3] LC_TIME=en_US.UTF-8 LC_COLLATE=C
#> [5] LC_MONETARY=en_US.UTF-8 LC_MESSAGES=en_US.UTF-8
#> [7] LC_PAPER=en_US.UTF-8 LC_NAME=C
#> [9] LC_ADDRESS=C LC_TELEPHONE=C
#> [11] LC_MEASUREMENT=en_US.UTF-8 LC_IDENTIFICATION=C
#>
#> attached base packages:
#> [1] stats graphics grDevices utils datasets methods base
#>
#> other attached packages:
#> [1] qgraph_1.6.3 pcFactorStan_1.0.2 Rcpp_1.0.1
#> [4] rstan_2.19.1 StanHeaders_2.18.9 reshape2_1.4.3
#> [7] ggplot2_3.2.0 knitr_1.23
#>
#> loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
#> [1] splines_3.6.1 gtools_3.8.1 Formula_1.2-3
#> [4] assertthat_0.2.1 BDgraph_2.59 highr_0.8
#> [7] stats4_3.6.1 latticeExtra_0.6-28 d3Network_0.5.2.1
#> [10] yaml_2.2.0 pbivnorm_0.6.0 pillar_1.4.1
#> [13] backports_1.1.4 lattice_0.20-38 glue_1.3.1
#> [16] digest_0.6.19 RColorBrewer_1.1-2 checkmate_1.9.3
#> [19] ggm_2.3 colorspace_1.4-1 htmltools_0.3.6
#> [22] Matrix_1.2-17 plyr_1.8.4 psych_1.8.12
#> [25] pkgconfig_2.0.2 purrr_0.3.2 corpcor_1.6.9
#> [28] mvtnorm_1.0-11 scales_1.0.0 processx_3.3.1
#> [31] whisker_0.3-2 glasso_1.10 jpeg_0.1-8
#> [34] fdrtool_1.2.15 huge_1.3.2 tibble_2.1.3
#> [37] htmlTable_1.13.1 withr_2.1.2 pbapply_1.4-0
#> [40] nnet_7.3-12 lazyeval_0.2.2 cli_1.1.0
#> [43] mnormt_1.5-5 survival_2.44-1.1 magrittr_1.5
#> [46] crayon_1.3.4 evaluate_0.14 ps_1.3.0
#> [49] MASS_7.3-51.3 nlme_3.1-140 foreign_0.8-71
#> [52] pkgbuild_1.0.3 tools_3.6.1 loo_2.1.0
#> [55] data.table_1.12.2 prettyunits_1.0.2 matrixStats_0.54.0
#> [58] stringr_1.4.0 munsell_0.5.0 cluster_2.1.0
#> [61] callr_3.2.0 compiler_3.6.1 rlang_0.3.4
#> [64] grid_3.6.1 rstudioapi_0.10 rjson_0.2.20
#> [67] htmlwidgets_1.3 igraph_1.2.4.1 lavaan_0.6-3
#> [70] base64enc_0.1-3 labeling_0.3 rmarkdown_1.13
#> [73] gtable_0.3.0 codetools_0.2-16 abind_1.4-5
#> [76] inline_0.3.15 R6_2.4.0 gridExtra_2.3
#> [79] dplyr_0.8.1 Hmisc_4.2-0 stringi_1.4.3
#> [82] parallel_3.6.1 rpart_4.1-13 acepack_1.4.1
#> [85] png_0.1-7 tidyselect_0.2.5 xfun_0.7